The vise tightens

Written by Maxime Parra
Reviewed byOthmane Bennis
Published on September 28, 2026

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The pressure is building. With the US 10-year Treasury yield at its highest since 2007, rising rates are no longer a hypothesis. They’re the new reality of this year-end.

Runaway inflation, the Fed hiking rates, the prospect of a shutdown. There’s no shortage of reasons to feel gloomy, but this explosive cocktail could also force Donald Trump to negotiate with Iran and finally seal a way out of the crisis.

The first cracks are showing in the housing market, with the 30-year fixed rate now above the symbolic 7% threshold. In the middle of an election campaign, complaints from American voters are a bad look.

For the man in the White House, the urgency is total. And even if the public posturing stays as rigid as ever, the talks have clearly picked up steam over the past few days. So a piece of good news from the front can’t be ruled out.

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    My trading plan

    Micro E-mini Dow Jones futures – ProRealTime chart

    Short sellers managed to take their profits at the 51,608-point support, and buyers found their footing to rally back to the monthly support 2.

    Over the medium term, the Dow Jones is still in a downtrend, but short term, the rebound could keep going at the very start of this week.

    So I’ll favor bullish trades for this Monday.

    Happy trading!

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    Maxime Parra
    Founder & Retail Trader

    Maxime holds two master’s degrees from the SKEMA Business School and FFBC. As founder and editor-in-chief of NewTrading.fr, he writes daily about financial trading.